Recent track forecast improvements prevented millions of Floridians from unnecessarily evacuating ahead of Hurricane Dorian last year, but a new report also reveals record-setting errors in its intensity forecast.
Becoming the strongest hurricane in modern records to hit the northern Bahamas, Hurricane Dorian defied forecasts in multiple ways along its journey.
Hurricane Dorian became a large and extremely dangerous Category 5 storm as it approached the northern Bahamas in the beginning of September. The storm was only 180 miles from Miami when winds peaked at 185 mph, yet no hurricane watches or warnings had been posted yet. This is historically uncommon when it comes down to a westward moving hurricane near The Bahamas to not require watches or warnings in South Florida. In fact, Dorian’s extremely slow forward speed, which at times was nearly stationary, allowed emergency managers enough time to make better decisions. Continue reading here.
All in all, The 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season will begin June 1, and many reputable forecasters believe it will be an active season overall. Make sure to get prepared for Hurricane Season – we have a checklist for you here.
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