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Experts predict ‘slightly below normal’ activity with 8 hurricanes in 2023

Apr 13, 2023

The first predictions for the 2023 hurricane season show “slightly below average activity,” according to a report Colorado State University researchers released Thursday morning.

Experts are predicting a total of 13 storms, with eight being hurricanes. Two of the hurricanes are expected to be major hurricanes, meaning Category 3, 4 or 5 storms with wind speeds ranging from 111 mph to 157 mph.

There’s a greater than usual uncertainty in this season’s outlook, according to the report.

An El Niño weather pattern, a period where the ocean surface warms in the eastern half of the Pacific, can decrease cyclone activity in the Atlantic because of increased vertical wind shear.

The temperatures in the eastern and central Atlantic are warmer than usual, and if a strong El Niño does not develop, the season could be a busy one, the forecast said. The researchers cautioned in the report that preparations are needed for hurricane season no matter how active it is predicted to be.

Last hurricane season’s forecast predicted above-average activity, calling for nine hurricanes of which four were expected to become major. Florida felt the greatest effects of the season with the landfall of Category 4 Hurricane Ian on Sept. 28, 2022, on a barrier island in Southwest Florida.

Catastrophic storm surge inundated the Southwest coast, with the highest storm surge recorded in Fort Myers Beach and Estero Island at 10 to 15 feet above ground level, according to a National Hurricane Center report. Hurricane Ian claimed at least 156 lives with the storm surge being its deadliest hazard. And like many prior disasters, Hurricane Ian impacted people who thought they were living in a safe area.

If you experience severe loss or damage from this hurricane season, contact an experienced professional at the Insurance Litigation Group (ILG). Our property claim attorneys can get you paid for your loss. We understand that you cannot afford to wait around while the insurer engages in its delaying tactics. ILG is focused on achieving rapid results.

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